Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.225151 0.255959 0.288977 0.326943 0.369337 0.415162 0.468387
2025-11-02 0.187583 0.229571 0.277537 0.336186 0.405753 0.485415 0.583311
2025-11-09 0.155618 0.203101 0.260422 0.334292 0.426494 0.537274 0.679891
2025-11-16 0.132023 0.182516 0.246536 0.332940 0.445676 0.586847 0.775938
2025-11-23 0.113652 0.165589 0.234435 0.331286 0.462732 0.633442 0.870160
2025-11-30 0.101991 0.155794 0.230013 0.338339 0.490548 0.694613 0.986209
2025-12-07 0.090344 0.144346 0.221696 0.338558 0.508146 0.742291 1.086217
2025-12-14 0.080610 0.134368 0.214138 0.338596 0.524675 0.788616 1.186191
2025-12-21 0.072593 0.125958 0.207824 0.339452 0.541785 0.836023 1.289598
2025-12-28 0.066627 0.120031 0.204537 0.344248 0.564554 0.892317 1.408318
2026-01-04 0.062151 0.115986 0.203680 0.352463 0.592666 0.957599 1.543284
2026-01-11 0.057305 0.110733 0.200278 0.356097 0.613488 1.012542 1.664979
2026-01-18 0.053276 0.106661 0.198755 0.363144 0.640996 1.080565 1.812603
2026-01-25 0.050277 0.104113 0.199564 0.374096 0.675515 1.161454 1.984706
2026-02-01 0.045622 0.097927 0.193391 0.372423 0.688667 1.208638 2.105361
2026-02-08 0.041546 0.092365 0.187776 0.371147 0.702173 1.256817 2.229731
2026-02-15 0.037859 0.087131 0.182233 0.369434 0.714575 1.303503 2.353592
2026-02-22 0.035711 0.084798 0.181932 0.377272 0.744247 1.380643 2.531901
2026-03-01 0.032900 0.080721 0.177843 0.377544 0.760063 1.434542 2.672924
2026-03-08 0.030341 0.076883 0.173848 0.377601 0.775313 1.487969 2.815314
2026-03-15 0.028112 0.073514 0.170479 0.378555 0.792151 1.544818 2.966016
2026-03-22 0.026477 0.071321 0.169344 0.383849 0.817480 1.617975 3.148698
2026-03-29 0.025291 0.070052 0.170049 0.392909 0.850560 1.706673 3.362983